Podcast: What Fed Rate Cut Means for Housing
On the latest episode of NAHB’s podcast, Housing Developments, CEO Jim Tobin and COO Paul Lopez discuss the latest economic news, including the Federal Reserve’s rate cut announcement this week, what it means for housing and what policymakers can do to promote growth in housing.
The Fed cut the federal funds rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday. Two more Federal Open Market Committee meetings remain in 2024, where additional cuts are expected as the Fed works toward its target rate of 2%.
Lower rates for AD&C loans are a critical next step in order for the housing industry to be able to meet demand. A drop in rates has also caused the refinancing market to heat up, and should help push prospective home buyers off the fence.
All of these are good signs for housing, as expressed in this week’s NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, which rose two points this week, as builders look toward improvements in the market.
“The macroeconomy is starting to right itself,” Tobin observed. “So now is the time for lawmakers — whether at the federal level or state or local level — to jump on the housing bandwagon and get ready for that growth.”
Issues that policymakers should be looking toward to improve housing affordability include:
- Removing regulatory barriers to allow for more land development,
- Removing tariffs to make sure we’re bringing in affordable building materials, and
- Improving the construction labor market with immigration reform and workforce training.
“Everybody should be looking to enhance and protect the growth potential in housing over these next several months in order to prepare us for the next couple of years,” Tobin added.
In addition to the presidential elections, races to watch across the U.S. include the Senate races in Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Florida and Texas.
“It’s just an interesting year,” Tobin noted. “And it’s going to be close.”
Tobin and Lopez will be heading to San Antonio Oct. 1-3 for the 2024 Fall Leadership Meeting, with nearly 1,000 attendees descending on the JW Marriott San Antonio Hill Country to network and discuss important issues in the industry and the election. Registration is also open for the 2025 International Builders’ Show in Las Vegas.
Listen to the full episode below, and subscribe to Housing Development through your favorite podcast provider or watch all the episodes on YouTube.
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Latest Economic News
The U.S. labor market rebounded in October, with nonfarm payroll employment increasing by 165,000 jobs and the unemployment rate declining to 4.1%. However, the improvement in overall employment contrasts with continued weakness in residential construction, where employment fell by 16,400 jobs, the largest monthly decline since March 2021.
New multifamily housing confidence weakened year-over-year in the third quarter, according to the Multifamily Market Survey (MMS) by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). The MMS produces two separate indices. The Multifamily Production Index (MPI) had a reading of 41, down five points year-over-year, while the Multifamily Occupancy Index (MOI) had a reading of 69, also down five points year-over-year.
Mortgage application activity declined in October as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose sharply again. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, fell 14.1% month-over-month in October on a seasonally adjusted basis. Compared to a year ago, total mortgage applications were 39.8% lower.