Macro Economic Outlook

Economics
Each month, leading economists at NAHB provide the latest insights on the current and future state of the U.S. economy and explain how key factors will impact the housing industry. Some of the key macroeconomic issues examined in these monthly reports include inflation, interest rates, material prices, employment and more.

July 2025: Federal Reserve Faces a Difficult Decision

NAHB Economist Catherine Koh explains the key factors for the Federal Reserve as it considers potential rate cuts in the second half of 2025.

June 2025: Tariff Uncertainty Creates Headwinds

NAHB Director of Tax and Trade Policy Jesse Wade explains why the economy contracted in Q1 and how the ongoing tariff uncertainty will create challenges for U.S. businesses.

April 2025: Mild Economic Growth in the Forecast

NAHB Economist Eric Lynch recaps economic growth trends in 2024 and examines the outlook for growth in 2025.

Housing and Interest Rate Forecast Industry data from 2021 to 2027.