First-Time Home Buyers Are Taking a Step Back

Trends
Published
Prospective Home Buyer Data Graph

The share of adults planning to purchase a home within a year fell for a third straight quarter to 13%. The last time fewer American adults intended to buy a home was in the second quarter of 2020 (11%). The decline is evidence that the COVID-induced boost to housing demand is past its peak and is now softening.

Part of this moderation is because first-time home buyers are taking a step back. Their share of prospective buyers has fallen for two consecutive quarters — from 65% in the third quarter of 2021 to 60% in the first quarter of 2022 — to roughly pre-pandemic levels. This decline can be seen in all regions of the United States.

These results can be found in NAHB&rsquos Housing Trends Report — a research product created by the NAHB Economics team with the goal of measuring prospective home buyers' perceptions about the availability and affordability of homes for-sale in their markets.

Rose Quint, NAHB assistant vice president for survey research, provides more information in this Eye on Housing post.

Subscribe to NAHBNow

Log in or create account to subscribe to notifications of new posts.

Log in to subscribe

Latest from NAHBNow

Awards | Publications

Dec 05, 2025

NAHB Members Recognized as ‘Young Guns & Legends’ by Industry’s Top Media

Pro Builder magazine recently released its Class of 2025 “Young Guns & Legends” list that honors up-and-coming leaders and a collection of legends who have made career contributions to the housing industry.

Advocacy

Dec 05, 2025

NAHB's Monthly Update Features Talking Points on Advocacy Victories in 2025

The update provides the latest messaging framework to help members articulate all the legislative, regulatory and business wins NAHB secured this year.

View all

Latest Economic News

Economics

Dec 05, 2025

Mortgage Rates Continue to Trend Lower in November

The average mortgage rate in November continued to trend lower to its lowest level in over a year. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.24% in November, 2 basis points (bps) lower than in October. Meanwhile, the 15-year rate increased 3 bps to 5.51%.

Economics

Dec 04, 2025

Number of Bathrooms in New Single-Family Homes in 2024

Single-family homes started in 2024 typically had two full bathrooms, according to the U.S. Census Bureau’s Annual Survey of Construction. Homes with three full bathrooms continued to have the second largest share of starts at around 23%. Meanwhile, both homes with four full bathrooms or more and homes with one bathroom or less made up under ten percent of homes started.

Economics

Dec 03, 2025

House Price Appreciation by State and Metro Area: Third Quarter 2025

House prices continued to rise in the third quarter of 2025, though the pace of growth slowed as elevated mortgage rates, affordability challenges, and persistent economic uncertainty weighed on consumer demand. After several years of rapid growth, Hawaii and 38 metro areas saw house price declines this quarter, highlighting significant regional variations in market conditions.