First-Time Home Buyers Are Taking a Step Back
The share of adults planning to purchase a home within a year fell for a third straight quarter to 13%. The last time fewer American adults intended to buy a home was in the second quarter of 2020 (11%). The decline is evidence that the COVID-induced boost to housing demand is past its peak and is now softening.
Part of this moderation is because first-time home buyers are taking a step back. Their share of prospective buyers has fallen for two consecutive quarters — from 65% in the third quarter of 2021 to 60% in the first quarter of 2022 — to roughly pre-pandemic levels. This decline can be seen in all regions of the United States.
These results can be found in NAHB&rsquos Housing Trends Report — a research product created by the NAHB Economics team with the goal of measuring prospective home buyers' perceptions about the availability and affordability of homes for-sale in their markets.
Rose Quint, NAHB assistant vice president for survey research, provides more information in this Eye on Housing post.
Latest from NAHBNow
Jan 16, 2026
Builder Sentiment Loses Ground at Start of 2026Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes fell two points to 37 in January, according to the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today.
Jan 15, 2026
NAHB Participates in Capitol Hill Housing ForumNAHB Chief Lobbyist Lake Coulson participated in a Housing Affordability Roundtable hosted by the New Democrat Coalition. Lawmakers and housing stakeholders discussed ways to address affordability challenges and enact federal housing finance reforms.
Latest Economic News
Jan 16, 2026
December Mortgage Activity Softens Even as Rates EaseMortgage application activity declined in December despite a modest easing in mortgage rates. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, fell 5.3% from November on a seasonally adjusted basis, though it remained 47.1% higher than a year ago.
Jan 16, 2026
Builder Sentiment Loses Ground at Start of 2026Builder confidence moved lower to start the year as affordability concerns continue to weigh heavily with buyers, and builders continue to contend with rising construction costs.
Jan 15, 2026
Remodeling Market Sentiment Strengthens in Fourth Quarter of 2025In the third quarter of 2025, the NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI) posted a reading of 64, increasing four points compared to the previous quarter.