Fed Rate Hike Expected in March

Economics
Published

At the conclusion of its January policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee strongly signaled that it will undertake its first, post-Covid increase of the federal funds rate in March. The Fed is tightening monetary policy in response to the highest inflation readings in nearly 40 years. These inflationary pressures have increased both consumer costs and businesses input costs, including those faced by the residential construction sector.

The Jan. 26 policy announcement noted clearly: “With inflation well above 2% and a strong labor market, the Committee expects it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate.”

NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz provides in-depth analysis on what the Fed action will mean for housing and interest rates this year in this Eye on Housing blog post.

Subscribe to NAHBNow

Log in or create account to subscribe to notifications of new posts.

Log in to subscribe

Latest from NAHBNow

IBS

Dec 31, 2025

Your Ultimate Guide to the 2026 International Builders’ Show

The NAHB International Builders’ Show® (IBS) is where tens of thousands of residential construction pros from around the world come to see what’s new and what’s next in home building.

Education

Dec 30, 2025

NAHB's Most Engaging Shop Talk Sessions of 2025

The most popular discussions featured topics such as the next generation of women in construction, social media strategies to elevate your business and the art of networking.

View all

Latest Economic News

Economics

Dec 22, 2025

State-Level Employment Situation: September 2025

In September 2025, nonfarm payroll employment was largely unchanged across states on a monthly basis, with a limited number of states seeing statistically significant increases or decreases. This reflects generally stable job counts across states despite broader labor market fluctuations. The data were impacted by collection delays due to the federal government shutdown.

Economics

Dec 19, 2025

Existing Home Sales Edge Higher in November

Existing home sales rose for the third consecutive month in November as lower mortgage rates continued to boost home sales, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). However, the increase remained modest as mortgage rates still stayed above 6% while down from recent highs. The weakening job market also weighed on buyer activity.

Economics

Dec 18, 2025

Lumber Capacity Lower Midway Through 2025

Sawmill production has remained essentially flat over the past two years, according to the Federal Reserve G.17 Industrial Production report. This most recent data release contained an annual revision, which resulted in higher estimates for both production and capacity in U.S. sawmills.