Fed Rate Hike Expected in March
At the conclusion of its January policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee strongly signaled that it will undertake its first, post-Covid increase of the federal funds rate in March. The Fed is tightening monetary policy in response to the highest inflation readings in nearly 40 years. These inflationary pressures have increased both consumer costs and businesses input costs, including those faced by the residential construction sector.
The Jan. 26 policy announcement noted clearly: “With inflation well above 2% and a strong labor market, the Committee expects it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate.”
NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz provides in-depth analysis on what the Fed action will mean for housing and interest rates this year in this Eye on Housing blog post.
Latest from NAHBNow
Dec 19, 2025
2025 Census Survey Reminder: Help Us Advocate for Home BuildingMembers should have received an important reminder this week from NAHB to complete our 2025 Builder and Associate Member Census. Please take a few minutes to participate to help us develop education, advocacy and networking opportunities needed to help your business grow.
Dec 19, 2025
Ford Announces Big Savings for NAHB Members on 2026 Model Year VehiclesAs a flagship partner of the NAHB Member Savings Program, Ford Pro has announced significant savings on eligible 2026 model year vehicles — up to $5,500 off. The lineup includes popular options such as Broncos, F-150s, Super Duty pickups, and Transit vans.
Latest Economic News
Dec 19, 2025
Existing Home Sales Edge Higher in NovemberExisting home sales rose for the third consecutive month in November as lower mortgage rates continued to boost home sales, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). However, the increase remained modest as mortgage rates still stayed above 6% while down from recent highs. The weakening job market also weighed on buyer activity.
Dec 18, 2025
Lumber Capacity Lower Midway Through 2025Sawmill production has remained essentially flat over the past two years, according to the Federal Reserve G.17 Industrial Production report. This most recent data release contained an annual revision, which resulted in higher estimates for both production and capacity in U.S. sawmills.
Dec 18, 2025
Inflation Slows in November (with a Caveat)Inflation unexpectedly eased in November, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) latest report. This data release was originally scheduled for December 10 but was delayed due to the recent government shutdown.