Escalating Lumber Prices Hamper Home Owner Dreams
Lumber prices have skyrocketed since mid-April, rising 130% and increasing the cost of a single-family home by more than $16,000. NAHB continues to advocate for increased production to ease the supply shortage and engaging Canada in trade discussions to remove the tariffs on Canadian lumber shipments. But solutions may not come fast enough for prospective home owners who now find themselves scrambling to find alternatives amidst these skyrocketing prices.
John and Teri Goldsmith began the process for building their retirement home in Eastern Tennessee, outside of Knoxville, in February 2020. Their plans were quickly put on hold, however, as the COVID-19 pandemic swept the country because they were afraid they would not be able to sell their current home.
As the market began to pick up, so did the Goldsmiths' hopes of building their dream retirement home. After successfully selling their home at the end of July, the couple settled into a rental property and quickly got to work. Having secured a contractor, qualified for a construction loan and received approval from the architectural committee at their property owners' association (POA), they were ready to break ground in early October.
On Aug. 31, however, the Goldsmiths were faced with yet another challenge. They received an unexpected call from their builder, who — while pricing another project — regretfully informed them that the price of lumber had gone up 100% since the last time he had priced it for them. Both the Goldsmiths and the builder were blindsided by the exponential cost increases, which may now make it impossible for them to complete the process.
John and Teri have begun to research alternatives, including different building methods that may use less materials. But they're concerned the price increases in lumber have expanded to other building materials as well. With no end in sight to the price increases, waiting also becomes a challenge, as the couple is bound to the construction timeline set by the POA, which requires the Goldsmiths to break ground within 45 days of receiving approval and one year to complete the project or face penalties.
The Goldsmiths have been working hard with their contractor on a Plan B because they have already invested $15,000 in permit fees and $10,000 in contractor deposits. This "discovery phase," as John called it, has made planning difficult, as there are still many unknowns out there. But they're hoping there is light at the end of the tunnel.
Share Your Lumber Story
NAHB would like to hear how rising lumber prices, and the limited availability of lumber, are affecting your business and the impact on housing affordability. For example, missed closing opportunities, increased costs, buyers being priced out of the market, etc. This will help us further illustrate to the Administration and Congress why a plan to address the lumber crisis is urgently needed. Share your story here.
Latest from NAHBNow
Jan 16, 2026
Builder Sentiment Loses Ground at Start of 2026Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes fell two points to 37 in January, according to the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today.
Jan 15, 2026
NAHB Participates in Capitol Hill Housing ForumNAHB Chief Lobbyist Lake Coulson participated in a Housing Affordability Roundtable hosted by the New Democrat Coalition. Lawmakers and housing stakeholders discussed ways to address affordability challenges and enact federal housing finance reforms.
Latest Economic News
Jan 16, 2026
December Mortgage Activity Softens Even as Rates EaseMortgage application activity declined in December despite a modest easing in mortgage rates. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, fell 5.3% from November on a seasonally adjusted basis, though it remained 47.1% higher than a year ago.
Jan 16, 2026
Builder Sentiment Loses Ground at Start of 2026Builder confidence moved lower to start the year as affordability concerns continue to weigh heavily with buyers, and builders continue to contend with rising construction costs.
Jan 15, 2026
Remodeling Market Sentiment Strengthens in Fourth Quarter of 2025In the third quarter of 2025, the NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI) posted a reading of 64, increasing four points compared to the previous quarter.