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The house price estimator is based on a model NAHB has developed to estimate the average price of a home with various features in different parts of the country. By changing the age, features, location and other inputs, the model can be used to estimate how a particular amenity - for example, an extra bathroom or waterfront location - tends to impact the price of a single family detached home.
The model was developed by applying well-established statistical techniques to data from the American Housing Survey (conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development). The American Housing Survey contains considerable information about the units and the neighborhoods in which they're located.
The amount of geographic detail in the survey is somewhat limited, however, so the output of the price estimator is an average price for a standardized home (that is, one with a given set of features) across a broad Census region, not the price of a particular home in a specific neighborhood. House prices within a region may vary substantially. The price of a home in downtown Chicago, for example, may be quite different from an otherwise similar home in another Midwestern central city.
Also, no survey or statistical model can possibly capture all features that potentially affect house prices. Hence, there's always a chance that a particular feature in the model is acting partly as a proxy for others. If homes with fireplaces tend to have higher quality decorative hardwood trim (a feature not available in the data), for instance, the estimated impact of a fireplace could be picking up part of the effect of the hardwood trim, as well as the value of the fireplace itself.
Subject to these caveats, the house price estimator has several uses:
In order to access the house price estimator, you will need to have Microsoft Excel installed on your computer. You may also need to adjust Excel’s security setting in order to have the estimator run properly. In Excel, go to the Tools menu, the Macro submenu, and then click on "Security." Set security no higher than Medium. After you are finished with the estimator, you can choose to reset the security setting. If your computer has Microsoft Excel with “Security” set to low or medium, view the NAHB house price estimator. Please Note: we are currently experiencing compatibility issues with the estimator in Mozilla Firefox, please use Microsoft Internet Explorer instead.
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